Original-Research: Nabaltec AG - from NuWays AG 21.01.2025 / 09:00 CET / CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
21.01.2025 - 09:01:25Original-Research: Nabaltec AG (von NuWays AG): Buy
Original-Research: Nabaltec AG - from NuWays AG 21.01.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Classification of NuWays AG to Nabaltec AG Company Name: Nabaltec AG ISIN: DE000A0KPPR7 Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: Buy from: 21.01.2025 Target price: EUR 25.00 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Christian Sandherr Ending FY24 on a high note; FY25 with additional growth Nabaltec to reach upper end of FY24e EBIT margin guidance. With Q3 figures, management confirmed its FY24 guidance of 2-4% yoy sales growth and an 8-10% EBIT margin while achieving 1.5% yoy growth and a 10.6% EBIT margin during the first nine months. While we expect the lower end of the sales guidance to be reached (eNuW: 1.7% yoy sales growth), the upper end of the margin guidance should be likely. Our current 9.3% margin estimate would imply only a 4.9% in Q4. 2025 to show further growth carried by rising volumes as well as expected price increases. Considering generally rising production costs (raw materials, energy and labour) as well as expected sales price increase of its peers, we would expect Nabaltec to also slightly increase prices (eNuW: 3.5%). On top, demand for the company's core product (ATH, an environmental friendly flame retardant, which is primarily used in cables and wires) is seen to remain strong. This should be driven by several trends including investments into data centres and an improving US construction industry. Further, the gap filler is growing in importance. Sales from the white powder, that improves thermal management capabilities of adhesives used in EV batteries, should reach EUR 8m in FY25e. Once the current capacity expansion is completed, Nabaltec will be able to produce EUR 40m worth of product p.a. All in all, Nabaltec looks well positioned to grow its top-line by a mid single-digit percentage (eNuW: 7.3%) while slightly expanding its EBIT margin. The past few quarters have underpinned the sustainability of the company's double-digit margin target. 2nd year of growth investments no burden on the balance sheet. Following some EUR 30m of capex in FY24e (~ EUR 18m for expanding boehmite gap filler production capacities), Nabaltec is seen to spend additional EUR 32m in FY25e to complete the capacity expansion for gap fillers, build a fully automized warehouse and special maintenance of its Specialty Oxides production. Nevertheless, the company's op. cash flow should once again be sufficient (eNuW EUR 29m) to largely cover those investments. Valuation remains attractive. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, unlike many of its peers, Nabaltec is able to show top-line and margin growth. With some EUR 30m operating cash flow in FY24e and a slight net cash position, the current valuation of 8.4x PE '24e looks undemanding. We confirm our BUY rating with a EUR 25 PT, which is based on FCFY 2025e, and keep the company on out Alpha List. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31643.pdf For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The EQS Distribution Services include Regulatory Announcements, Financial/Corporate News and Press Releases. Archive at www.eqs-news.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2071277 21.01.2025 CET/CEST