Original-Research: DEMIRE AG - from NuWays AG 21.03.2025 / 09:02 CET / CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group.
21.03.2025 - 09:02:30Original-Research: DEMIRE AG (von NuWays AG): Buy
Original-Research: DEMIRE AG - from NuWays AG 21.03.2025 / 09:02 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Classification of NuWays AG to DEMIRE AG Company Name: DEMIRE AG ISIN: DE000A0XFSF0 Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: Buy from: 21.03.2025 Target price: EUR 1.30 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Philipp Sennewald Softer profitability in FY25 and going forward; chg. Topic: DEMIRE released FY24 results, showing rental income in line with our estimates but FFO weaker than expected. Further, the new outlook also reflects softening profitability. In detail: FY24 rental income decreased by 16.9% yoy to EUR 65.3m (eNuW: EUR 66.1m). The decline was mainly driven by the disposals of the "LogPark Leipzig" (EUR 7.8m effect on annualized rent) as well as the deconsolidation of the "LIMES" portfolio (EUR 9.7m effect). Overall, the company was able to achieve record high asset disposals to the tune of EUR 110m (6% below BV). FY24 FFO came in at EUR 23.8m, down 36.4% yoy and also clearly behind our estimate of EUR 28.4m. The gap to our estimate is mainly explained by a weaker than expected NOI margin (-5.1pp yoy) as well as higher admin and other operating expenses. The latter were mainly affected by legal and advisory fees connected to the bond restructuring while regular other OpEx remained stable. Vacancy levels remain an issue at DEMIRE, as the vacancy rate increased bei 2pp to 15.1%, mainly driven by the insolvency of meinReal and Deutsche Telekom partly vacating an asset in Darmstadt. Going forward, management reiterated that improving the vacancy levels is on of the key strategic targets, while not providing a specifc target for FY25. In our view, a reduction to 12-13% should be seen as a success, while in the mid-term levels of <10% should be the target. On a positive note, the company was able to improve its LTV ratio by 6.3pp to 51.0% following the successful refinancing of the corporate bond, partly below par, as well as several asset disposals. Going forward, we expect further improvement given continued deleveraging in accordance with the refinancing agreement. FY25 outlook. With the release, management also provided a guidance for FY25, targeting rental income of EUR 51-53m (eNuW new: EUR 54.1m) and an FFO of EUR 3.5-5.5m (eNuW new: EUR 4.5m). The new guidance appears sensible in our view, given annualized contracted rent of EUR 56.4m as of FY24. Despite the mixed release and muted outlook, the stock remains undervalued, in our view, given a current NAV discount of 65%. We hence reiterate our BUY recommendation but reduce our PT to EUR 1.30 (old: EUR 1.50) based on our NAV model. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/32038.pdf For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The EQS Distribution Services include Regulatory Announcements, Financial/Corporate News and Press Releases. Archive at www.eqs-news.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2104162 21.03.2025 CET/CEST